Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
BAL
Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys
DAL

Sunday, September 27 at 4:25 PM EDT

BAL

-3

-155

Total

52.5

DAL

+3

+130

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadBAL -3.0-110
SpreadDAL +3-110
TotalOver 52.5-110
TotalUnder 52.5-110
MoneylineBAL to win-155
MoneylineDAL to win+130

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 3 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
  • Spread 3 — the 3-4 point band. In 1,737 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.5% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
  • Total 52.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,551 of them.

Last three seasons

BAL

19-18 ATS · 22-15 SU · 26-11 O/U

went over in 26 of 37

DAL

14-21 ATS · 14-21 SU · 25-10 O/U

went over in 25 of 35

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

Baltimore Ravens open a 3-point favorite over Dallas Cowboys — about 61% implied to win outright. The 52.5 total prices it near 28–25, one of the week's higher totals.

Baltimore Ravens went 8–9 in 2025 — #15 of 32 by point differential (+1.5/g).

Dallas Cowboys went 7–9 in 2025 — #19 of 32 by point differential (-2.4/g).

2025 team profiles

Baltimore Ravens

2025 record8-9Point diff / game+1.5Pythag wins (rank)9.1 (#15)2026 SOS rank#24

Dallas Cowboys

2025 record7-9Point diff / game-2.4Pythag wins (rank)7.7 (#19)2026 SOS rank#20

Props on the board — BAL @ DAL