Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
BUF
Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders
LV

Sunday, October 18 at 4:25 PM EDT

BUF

-6.5

-270

Total

47.5

LV

+6.5

+220

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadBUF -6.5-110
SpreadLV +6.5-110
TotalOver 47.5-110
TotalUnder 47.5-110
MoneylineBUF to win-270
MoneylineLV to win+220

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 6.5 sits half a point short of 7, one of the margins games actually land on. That hook is most of what you are paying for or getting here.
  • Spread 6.5 — the 6-7 point band. In 683 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.3–51.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 47.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,551 of them.

Last three seasons

BUF

22-18 ATS · 29-11 SU · 24-15 O/U

went over in 24 of 39

LV

16-19 ATS · 8-27 SU · 17-18 O/U

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

Buffalo Bills open a 6.5-point favorite over Las Vegas Raiders — about 73% implied to win outright. The 47.5 total prices it near 27–21.

Buffalo Bills went 12–5 in 2025 — #6 of 32 by point differential (+6.8/g).

Las Vegas Raiders went 3–14 in 2025 — #32 of 32 by point differential (-11.2/g).

2025 team profiles

Buffalo Bills

2025 record12-5Point diff / game+6.8Pythag wins (rank)11.2 (#6)2026 SOS rank#8

Las Vegas Raiders

2025 record3-14Point diff / game-11.2Pythag wins (rank)3.4 (#32)2026 SOS rank#7

Props on the board — BUF @ LV