

Sunday, October 18 at 4:25 PM EDT
BUF
-6.5
-270
Total
47.5
LV
+6.5
+220
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 6.5 sits half a point short of 7, one of the margins games actually land on. That hook is most of what you are paying for or getting here.
- Spread 6.5 — the 6-7 point band. In 683 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.3–51.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 47.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,551 of them.
Last three seasons
BUF
22-18 ATS · 29-11 SU · 24-15 O/U
went over in 24 of 39
LV
16-19 ATS · 8-27 SU · 17-18 O/U
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Buffalo Bills open a 6.5-point favorite over Las Vegas Raiders — about 73% implied to win outright. The 47.5 total prices it near 27–21.
Buffalo Bills went 12–5 in 2025 — #6 of 32 by point differential (+6.8/g).
Las Vegas Raiders went 3–14 in 2025 — #32 of 32 by point differential (-11.2/g).
2025 team profiles
Buffalo Bills
Las Vegas Raiders
