Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
CHI
Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers
GB

Sunday, October 11 at 4:25 PM EDT

CHI

+3

+140

Total

49.5

GB

-3

-166

The Read

Green Bay Packers open a 3-point favorite over Chicago Bears — about 62% implied to win outright. The 49.5 total prices it near 26–23, one of the week's higher totals.

Chicago Bears went 11–6 in 2025 — #16 of 32 by point differential (+1.5/g), but +1.9 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.

Green Bay Packers went 9–7 in 2025 — #14 of 32 by point differential (+1.8/g).

Chicago Bears face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #1).

2025 team profiles

Chicago Bears

2025 record11-6Point diff / game+1.5Pythag wins (rank)9.1 (#16)2026 SOS rank#1

Green Bay Packers

2025 record9-7Point diff / game+1.8Pythag wins (rank)9.3 (#14)2026 SOS rank#4