

Sunday, September 20 at 1:00 PM EDT
CIN
+3
+124
Total
46.5
HOU
-3
-148
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 3 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
- Spread 3 — the 3-4 point band. In 1,737 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.5% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
- Total 46.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,551 of them.
Last three seasons
CIN
19-16 ATS · 16-19 SU · 21-14 O/U
went over in 21 of 35
HOU
19-19-1 ATS · 24-15 SU · 15-23 O/U
went under in 23 of 38
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Houston Texans open a 3-point favorite over Cincinnati Bengals — about 60% implied to win outright. The 46.5 total prices it near 25–22.
Cincinnati Bengals went 6–11 in 2025 — #23 of 32 by point differential (-4.6/g).
Houston Texans went 12–5 in 2025 — #5 of 32 by point differential (+6.4/g).
Cincinnati Bengals drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #30).
2025 team profiles
Cincinnati Bengals
Houston Texans
