Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
CIN
Cincinnati Bengals @ Houston Texans
HOU

Sunday, September 20 at 1:00 PM EDT

CIN

+3

+124

Total

46.5

HOU

-3

-148

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadCIN +3.0-118
SpreadHOU -3-102
TotalOver 46.5-110
TotalUnder 46.5-110
MoneylineCIN to win+124
MoneylineHOU to win-148

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 3 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
  • Spread 3 — the 3-4 point band. In 1,737 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.5% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
  • Total 46.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,551 of them.

Last three seasons

CIN

19-16 ATS · 16-19 SU · 21-14 O/U

went over in 21 of 35

HOU

19-19-1 ATS · 24-15 SU · 15-23 O/U

went under in 23 of 38

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

Houston Texans open a 3-point favorite over Cincinnati Bengals — about 60% implied to win outright. The 46.5 total prices it near 25–22.

Cincinnati Bengals went 6–11 in 2025 — #23 of 32 by point differential (-4.6/g).

Houston Texans went 12–5 in 2025 — #5 of 32 by point differential (+6.4/g).

Cincinnati Bengals drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #30).

2025 team profiles

Cincinnati Bengals

2025 record6-11Point diff / game-4.6Pythag wins (rank)6.8 (#23)2026 SOS rank#30

Houston Texans

2025 record12-5Point diff / game+6.4Pythag wins (rank)11.5 (#5)2026 SOS rank#26

Props on the board — CIN @ HOU