Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
CIN
Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins
MIA

Sunday, October 11 at 1:00 PM EDT

CIN

-6

-270

Total

49.5

MIA

+6

+220

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadCIN -6.0-110
SpreadMIA +6-110
TotalOver 49.5-110
TotalUnder 49.5-110
MoneylineCIN to win-270
MoneylineMIA to win+220

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 6 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
  • Spread 6 — the 6-7 point band. In 683 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.3–51.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 49.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,551 of them.

Last three seasons

CIN

19-16 ATS · 16-19 SU · 21-14 O/U

went over in 21 of 35

MIA

15-20 ATS · 15-20 SU · 18-17 O/U

8-12 ATS as an underdog

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

Cincinnati Bengals open a 6-point favorite over Miami Dolphins — about 73% implied to win outright. The 49.5 total prices it near 28–22, one of the week's higher totals.

Cincinnati Bengals went 6–11 in 2025 — #23 of 32 by point differential (-4.6/g).

Miami Dolphins went 7–10 in 2025 — #24 of 32 by point differential (-4.5/g).

Cincinnati Bengals drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #30).

2025 team profiles

Cincinnati Bengals

2025 record6-11Point diff / game-4.6Pythag wins (rank)6.8 (#23)2026 SOS rank#30

Miami Dolphins

2025 record7-10Point diff / game-4.5Pythag wins (rank)6.5 (#24)2026 SOS rank#2

Props on the board — CIN @ MIA