

Sunday, October 11 at 1:00 PM EDT
CIN
-6
-270
Total
49.5
MIA
+6
+220
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 6 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
- Spread 6 — the 6-7 point band. In 683 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.3–51.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 49.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,551 of them.
Last three seasons
CIN
19-16 ATS · 16-19 SU · 21-14 O/U
went over in 21 of 35
MIA
15-20 ATS · 15-20 SU · 18-17 O/U
8-12 ATS as an underdog
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Cincinnati Bengals open a 6-point favorite over Miami Dolphins — about 73% implied to win outright. The 49.5 total prices it near 28–22, one of the week's higher totals.
Cincinnati Bengals went 6–11 in 2025 — #23 of 32 by point differential (-4.6/g).
Miami Dolphins went 7–10 in 2025 — #24 of 32 by point differential (-4.5/g).
Cincinnati Bengals drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #30).
2025 team profiles
Cincinnati Bengals
Miami Dolphins
