Sunday, October 11 at 1:00 PM EDT
CLE
+1.5
+110
Total
39.5
NYJ
-1.5
-130
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 1.5 — the 0-3 point band. In 1,473 games since 1999 the favorite covered 49.8% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.3–52.4%) is taken into account.
- Total 39.5 — spread in the 0-3 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 48.9% of the time across 1,466 of them.
Last three seasons
CLE
12-23 ATS · 8-27 SU · 16-19 O/U
12-23 against the spread
NYJ
14-21 ATS · 9-26 SU · 21-14 O/U
went over in 21 of 35
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
New York Jets open a 1.5-point favorite over Cleveland Browns — about 57% implied to win outright. The 39.5 total prices it near 21–19, a low-scoring script.
Cleveland Browns went 5–12 in 2025 — #28 of 32 by point differential (-5.9/g).
New York Jets went 3–14 in 2025 — #30 of 32 by point differential (-11.9/g).
Cleveland Browns drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #32).
2025 team profiles
Cleveland Browns
New York Jets