Sunday, September 20 at 1:00 PM EDT
CLE
+8.5
+310
Total
41.5
TB
-8.5
-395
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 8.5 — the 7-10 point band. In 1,270 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.4% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.6–51.1%) is taken into account.
- Total 41.5 — spread in the 7-10 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 50.4% of the time across 1,281 of them.
Last three seasons
CLE
12-23 ATS · 8-27 SU · 16-19 O/U
12-23 against the spread
TB
15-21 ATS · 18-18 SU · 21-15 O/U
8-13 ATS as a favorite
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Tampa Bay Buccaneers open a 8.5-point favorite over Cleveland Browns — about 80% implied to win outright. The 41.5 total prices it near 25–17.
Cleveland Browns went 5–12 in 2025 — #28 of 32 by point differential (-5.9/g).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers went 8–9 in 2025 — #20 of 32 by point differential (-1.8/g).
Cleveland Browns drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #32).
2025 team profiles
Cleveland Browns
Tampa Bay Buccaneers