Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
DAL
Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers
GB

Sunday, October 18 at 8:20 PM EDT

DAL

+3

+142

Total

51.5

GB

-3

-170

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadDAL +3.0-110
SpreadGB -3-110
TotalOver 51.5-110
TotalUnder 51.5-110
MoneylineDAL to win+142
MoneylineGB to win-170

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 3 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
  • Spread 3 — the 3-4 point band. In 1,737 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.5% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
  • Total 51.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,551 of them.

Last three seasons

DAL

14-21 ATS · 14-21 SU · 25-10 O/U

went over in 25 of 35

GB

14-22-1 ATS · 20-17 SU · 19-17 O/U

14-22-1 against the spread

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

Green Bay Packers open a 3-point favorite over Dallas Cowboys — about 63% implied to win outright. The 51.5 total prices it near 27–24, one of the week's higher totals.

Dallas Cowboys went 7–9 in 2025 — #19 of 32 by point differential (-2.4/g).

Green Bay Packers went 9–7 in 2025 — #14 of 32 by point differential (+1.8/g).

Green Bay Packers face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #4).

2025 team profiles

Dallas Cowboys

2025 record7-9Point diff / game-2.4Pythag wins (rank)7.7 (#19)2026 SOS rank#20

Green Bay Packers

2025 record9-7Point diff / game+1.8Pythag wins (rank)9.3 (#14)2026 SOS rank#4

Props on the board — DAL @ GB