Sunday, October 11 at 4:25 PM EDT
DET
-8.5
-395
Total
48.5
ARI
+8.5
+310
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 8.5 — the 7-10 point band. In 1,270 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.4% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.6–51.1%) is taken into account.
- Total 48.5 — spread in the 7-10 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 50.4% of the time across 1,281 of them.
Last three seasons
DET
20-15-1 ATS · 25-11 SU · 21-14 O/U
17-11-1 ATS as a favorite
ARI
18-17 ATS · 12-23 SU · 18-16 O/U
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Detroit Lions open a 8.5-point favorite over Arizona Cardinals — about 80% implied to win outright. The 48.5 total prices it near 29–20, one of the week's higher totals.
Detroit Lions went 9–8 in 2025 — #10 of 32 by point differential (+4.0/g).
Arizona Cardinals went 3–14 in 2025 — #29 of 32 by point differential (-7.8/g), and were 2.4 wins unlucky versus their margin.
Detroit Lions drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #27).
2025 team profiles
Detroit Lions
Arizona Cardinals