Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
DET
Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins
MIA

Sunday, November 8 at 1:00 PM EST

DET

-7

-410

Total

48.5

MIA

+7

+320

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadDET -7.0-115
SpreadMIA +7-105
TotalOver 48.5-110
TotalUnder 48.5-110
MoneylineDET to win-410
MoneylineMIA to win+320

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 7 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
  • Spread 7 — the 7-10 point band. In 1,282 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3–50.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 48.5 — spread in the 7-10 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 50.5% of the time across 1,296 of them.

Last three seasons

DET

21-18-2 ATS · 28-13 SU · 25-15 O/U

went over in 25 of 40

MIA

17-22-1 ATS · 16-24 SU · 21-19 O/U

10-14-1 ATS as an underdog

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

Detroit Lions open a 7-point favorite over Miami Dolphins — about 80% implied to win outright. The 48.5 total prices it near 28–21, one of the week's higher totals.

Detroit Lions went 9–8 in 2025 — #10 of 32 by point differential (+4.0/g).

Miami Dolphins went 7–10 in 2025 — #24 of 32 by point differential (-4.5/g).

Detroit Lions drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #27).

2025 team profiles

Detroit Lions

2025 record9-8Point diff / game+4.0Pythag wins (rank)10.0 (#10)2026 SOS rank#27

Miami Dolphins

2025 record7-10Point diff / game-4.5Pythag wins (rank)6.5 (#24)2026 SOS rank#2

Props on the board — DET @ MIA