

Sunday, November 8 at 4:25 PM EST
GB
+3
+130
Total
47.5
NE
-3
-155
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 3 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
- Spread 3 — the 3-4 point band. In 1,766 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.3–50.9%) is taken into account.
- Total 47.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,599 of them.
Last three seasons
GB
17-24-2 ATS · 24-19 SU · 20-22 O/U
6-15-2 ATS away
NE
24-19-2 ATS · 25-20 SU · 27-18 O/U
went over in 27 of 45
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
New England Patriots open a 3-point favorite over Green Bay Packers — about 61% implied to win outright. The 47.5 total prices it near 25–22.
Green Bay Packers went 9–7 in 2025 — #14 of 32 by point differential (+1.8/g).
New England Patriots went 14–3 in 2025 — #2 of 32 by point differential (+10.0/g), but +1.5 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.
Green Bay Packers face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #4).
2025 team profiles
Green Bay Packers
New England Patriots
