Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
GB
Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots
NE

Sunday, November 8 at 4:25 PM EST

GB

+3

+130

Total

47.5

NE

-3

-155

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadGB +3.0-118
SpreadNE -3-102
TotalOver 47.5-110
TotalUnder 47.5-110
MoneylineGB to win+130
MoneylineNE to win-155

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 3 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
  • Spread 3 — the 3-4 point band. In 1,766 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.3–50.9%) is taken into account.
  • Total 47.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,599 of them.

Last three seasons

GB

17-24-2 ATS · 24-19 SU · 20-22 O/U

6-15-2 ATS away

NE

24-19-2 ATS · 25-20 SU · 27-18 O/U

went over in 27 of 45

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

New England Patriots open a 3-point favorite over Green Bay Packers — about 61% implied to win outright. The 47.5 total prices it near 25–22.

Green Bay Packers went 9–7 in 2025 — #14 of 32 by point differential (+1.8/g).

New England Patriots went 14–3 in 2025 — #2 of 32 by point differential (+10.0/g), but +1.5 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.

Green Bay Packers face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #4).

2025 team profiles

Green Bay Packers

2025 record9-7Point diff / game+1.8Pythag wins (rank)9.3 (#14)2026 SOS rank#4

New England Patriots

2025 record14-3Point diff / game+10.0Pythag wins (rank)12.5 (#2)2026 SOS rank#6

Props on the board — GB @ NE