Sunday, October 18 at 9:30 AM EDT
HOU
+1.5
-108
Total
42.5
JAX
-1.5
-112
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 1.5 — the 0-3 point band. In 1,473 games since 1999 the favorite covered 49.8% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.3–52.4%) is taken into account.
- Total 42.5 — spread in the 0-3 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 48.9% of the time across 1,466 of them.
Last three seasons
HOU
19-19-1 ATS · 24-15 SU · 15-23 O/U
went under in 23 of 38
JAX
23-13 ATS · 18-18 SU · 20-16 O/U
14-7 ATS as an underdog
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Jacksonville Jaguars open a 1.5-point favorite over Houston Texans — about 53% implied to win outright. The 42.5 total prices it near 22–21.
Houston Texans went 12–5 in 2025 — #5 of 32 by point differential (+6.4/g).
Jacksonville Jaguars went 13–4 in 2025 — #4 of 32 by point differential (+8.1/g).
2025 team profiles
Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars