Pittsburgh Steelers open a 2.5-point favorite over Indianapolis Colts — about 59% implied to win outright. The 47.5 total prices it near 25–23.

Indianapolis Colts went 8–9 in 2025 — #11 of 32 by point differential (+3.2/g), and were 1.7 wins unlucky versus their margin.

Pittsburgh Steelers went 10–7 in 2025 — #17 of 32 by point differential (+0.6/g).

Indianapolis Colts drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #29).