Sunday, October 4 at 9:30 AM EDT
IND
+1.5
-102
Total
50.5
WAS
-1.5
-118
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 1.5 — the 0-3 point band. In 1,473 games since 1999 the favorite covered 49.8% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.3–52.4%) is taken into account.
- Total 50.5 — spread in the 0-3 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 48.9% of the time across 1,466 of them.
Last three seasons
IND
18-17 ATS · 16-19 SU · 20-15 O/U
WAS
20-18 ATS · 19-19 SU · 24-14 O/U
went over in 24 of 38
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Washington Commanders open a 1.5-point favorite over Indianapolis Colts — about 54% implied to win outright. The 50.5 total prices it near 26–25, one of the week's higher totals.
Indianapolis Colts went 8–9 in 2025 — #11 of 32 by point differential (+3.2/g), and were 1.7 wins unlucky versus their margin.
Washington Commanders went 5–12 in 2025 — #27 of 32 by point differential (-5.6/g).
Indianapolis Colts drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #29).
2025 team profiles
Indianapolis Colts
Washington Commanders