Chicago Bears open a 2.5-point favorite over Jacksonville Jaguars — about 59% implied to win outright. The 47.5 total prices it near 25–23.

Jacksonville Jaguars went 13–4 in 2025 — #4 of 32 by point differential (+8.1/g).

Chicago Bears went 11–6 in 2025 — #16 of 32 by point differential (+1.5/g), but +1.9 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.

Chicago Bears face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #1).