Denver Broncos open a 2.5-point favorite over Jacksonville Jaguars — about 59% implied to win outright. The 43.5 total prices it near 23–21.

Jacksonville Jaguars went 13–4 in 2025 — #4 of 32 by point differential (+8.1/g).

Denver Broncos went 14–3 in 2025 — #7 of 32 by point differential (+5.3/g), but +3.0 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.