All matchups
Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, October 4 at 4:25 PM EDT
KC
-5.5
-238
Total
43.5
LV
+5.5
+195
The Read
Kansas City Chiefs open a 5.5-point favorite over Las Vegas Raiders — about 70% implied to win outright. The 43.5 total prices it near 25–19.
Kansas City Chiefs went 6–11 in 2025 — #12 of 32 by point differential (+2.0/g), and were 3.5 wins unlucky versus their margin.
Las Vegas Raiders went 3–14 in 2025 — #32 of 32 by point differential (-11.2/g).
Kansas City Chiefs face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #5).
2025 team profiles
Kansas City Chiefs
2025 record6-11Point diff / game+2.0Pythag wins (rank)9.5 (#12)2026 SOS rank#5
Las Vegas Raiders
2025 record3-14Point diff / game-11.2Pythag wins (rank)3.4 (#32)2026 SOS rank#7