Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
LV
Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers
LAC

Sunday, September 20 at 4:05 PM EDT

LV

+6.5

+245

Total

43.5

LAC

-6.5

-305

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadLV +6.5-102
SpreadLAC -6.5-118
TotalOver 43.5-105
TotalUnder 43.5-115
MoneylineLV to win+245
MoneylineLAC to win-305

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 6.5 sits half a point short of 7, one of the margins games actually land on. That hook is most of what you are paying for or getting here.
  • Spread 6.5 — the 6-7 point band. In 683 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.3–51.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 43.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,551 of them.

Last three seasons

LV

16-19 ATS · 8-27 SU · 17-18 O/U

LAC

22-15 ATS · 22-15 SU · 16-21 O/U

22-15 against the spread

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

Los Angeles Chargers open a 6.5-point favorite over Las Vegas Raiders — about 75% implied to win outright. The 43.5 total prices it near 25–19.

Las Vegas Raiders went 3–14 in 2025 — #32 of 32 by point differential (-11.2/g).

Los Angeles Chargers went 11–6 in 2025 — #13 of 32 by point differential (+1.6/g), but +1.7 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.

2025 team profiles

Las Vegas Raiders

2025 record3-14Point diff / game-11.2Pythag wins (rank)3.4 (#32)2026 SOS rank#7

Los Angeles Chargers

2025 record11-6Point diff / game+1.6Pythag wins (rank)9.3 (#13)2026 SOS rank#9

Props on the board — LV @ LAC