All matchups
Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots
Sunday, October 11 at 1:00 PM EDT
LV
+8.5
+310
Total
44.5
NE
-8.5
-395
The Read
New England Patriots open a 8.5-point favorite over Las Vegas Raiders — about 80% implied to win outright. The 44.5 total prices it near 27–18.
Las Vegas Raiders went 3–14 in 2025 — #32 of 32 by point differential (-11.2/g).
New England Patriots went 14–3 in 2025 — #2 of 32 by point differential (+10.0/g), but +1.5 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.
New England Patriots face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #6).
2025 team profiles
Las Vegas Raiders
2025 record3-14Point diff / game-11.2Pythag wins (rank)3.4 (#32)2026 SOS rank#7
New England Patriots
2025 record14-3Point diff / game+10.0Pythag wins (rank)12.5 (#2)2026 SOS rank#6