Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
LV
Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers
SF

Sunday, November 8 at 4:05 PM EST

LV

+10

+425

Total

48.5

SF

-10

-575

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadLV +10.0-110
SpreadSF -10-110
TotalOver 48.5-110
TotalUnder 48.5-110
MoneylineLV to win+425
MoneylineSF to win-575

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 10 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
  • Spread 10 — the 10-14 point band. In 677 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.3–51.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 48.5 — spread in the 10-14 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.0% of the time across 683 of them.

Last three seasons

LV

20-21 ATS · 10-31 SU · 22-19 O/U

SF

21-22 ATS · 25-18 SU · 24-18 O/U

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

San Francisco 49ers open a 10-point favorite over Las Vegas Raiders — about 85% implied to win outright. The 48.5 total prices it near 29–19, one of the week's higher totals.

Las Vegas Raiders went 3–14 in 2025 — #32 of 32 by point differential (-11.2/g).

San Francisco 49ers went 12–5 in 2025 — #8 of 32 by point differential (+3.9/g), but +1.9 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.

2025 team profiles

Las Vegas Raiders

2025 record3-14Point diff / game-11.2Pythag wins (rank)3.4 (#32)2026 SOS rank#7

San Francisco 49ers

2025 record12-5Point diff / game+3.9Pythag wins (rank)10.1 (#8)2026 SOS rank#18

Props on the board — LV @ SF