

Sunday, September 20 at 1:00 PM EDT
MIN
+5.5
+190
Total
47.5
CHI
-5.5
-230
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 5.5 sits half a point short of 6, one of the margins games actually land on. That hook is most of what you are paying for or getting here.
- Spread 5.5 — the 4-6 point band. In 1,055 games since 1999 the favorite covered 49.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.2–52.2%) is taken into account.
- Total 47.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,551 of them.
Last three seasons
MIN
21-14-1 ATS · 24-12 SU · 16-20 O/U
13-8-1 ATS as a favorite
CHI
20-14-3 ATS · 18-19 SU · 17-20 O/U
20-14-3 against the spread
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Chicago Bears open a 5.5-point favorite over Minnesota Vikings — about 70% implied to win outright. The 47.5 total prices it near 27–21.
Minnesota Vikings went 9–8 in 2025 — #18 of 32 by point differential (+0.6/g).
Chicago Bears went 11–6 in 2025 — #16 of 32 by point differential (+1.5/g), but +1.9 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.
Chicago Bears face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #1).
2025 team profiles
Minnesota Vikings
Chicago Bears
