Chicago Bears open a 3.5-point favorite over Minnesota Vikings — about 65% implied to win outright. The 45.5 total prices it near 25–21.

Minnesota Vikings went 9–8 in 2025 — #18 of 32 by point differential (+0.6/g).

Chicago Bears went 11–6 in 2025 — #16 of 32 by point differential (+1.5/g), but +1.9 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.

Chicago Bears face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #1).