Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
MIN
Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears
CHI

Sunday, September 20 at 1:00 PM EDT

MIN

+5.5

+190

Total

47.5

CHI

-5.5

-230

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadMIN +5.5-108
SpreadCHI -5.5-112
TotalOver 47.5-115
TotalUnder 47.5-105
MoneylineMIN to win+190
MoneylineCHI to win-230

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 5.5 sits half a point short of 6, one of the margins games actually land on. That hook is most of what you are paying for or getting here.
  • Spread 5.5 — the 4-6 point band. In 1,055 games since 1999 the favorite covered 49.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.2–52.2%) is taken into account.
  • Total 47.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,551 of them.

Last three seasons

MIN

21-14-1 ATS · 24-12 SU · 16-20 O/U

13-8-1 ATS as a favorite

CHI

20-14-3 ATS · 18-19 SU · 17-20 O/U

20-14-3 against the spread

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

Chicago Bears open a 5.5-point favorite over Minnesota Vikings — about 70% implied to win outright. The 47.5 total prices it near 27–21.

Minnesota Vikings went 9–8 in 2025 — #18 of 32 by point differential (+0.6/g).

Chicago Bears went 11–6 in 2025 — #16 of 32 by point differential (+1.5/g), but +1.9 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.

Chicago Bears face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #1).

2025 team profiles

Minnesota Vikings

2025 record9-8Point diff / game+0.6Pythag wins (rank)8.8 (#18)2026 SOS rank#11

Chicago Bears

2025 record11-6Point diff / game+1.5Pythag wins (rank)9.1 (#16)2026 SOS rank#1

Props on the board — MIN @ CHI