

Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM EST
MIN
+3
+142
Total
46.5
DET
-3
-170
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 3 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
- Spread 3 — the 3-4 point band. In 1,766 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.3–50.9%) is taken into account.
- Total 46.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,599 of them.
Last three seasons
MIN
24-16-1 ATS · 29-12 SU · 16-25 O/U
went under in 25 of 41
DET
21-18-2 ATS · 28-13 SU · 25-15 O/U
went over in 25 of 40
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Detroit Lions open a 3-point favorite over Minnesota Vikings — about 63% implied to win outright. The 46.5 total prices it near 25–22.
Minnesota Vikings went 9–8 in 2025 — #18 of 32 by point differential (+0.6/g).
Detroit Lions went 9–8 in 2025 — #10 of 32 by point differential (+4.0/g).
Detroit Lions drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #27).
2025 team profiles
Minnesota Vikings
Detroit Lions
