Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
MIN
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
DET

Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM EST

MIN

+3

+142

Total

46.5

DET

-3

-170

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadMIN +3.0+100
SpreadDET -3-120
TotalOver 46.5+100
TotalUnder 46.5-120
MoneylineMIN to win+142
MoneylineDET to win-170

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 3 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
  • Spread 3 — the 3-4 point band. In 1,766 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.3–50.9%) is taken into account.
  • Total 46.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,599 of them.

Last three seasons

MIN

24-16-1 ATS · 29-12 SU · 16-25 O/U

went under in 25 of 41

DET

21-18-2 ATS · 28-13 SU · 25-15 O/U

went over in 25 of 40

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

Detroit Lions open a 3-point favorite over Minnesota Vikings — about 63% implied to win outright. The 46.5 total prices it near 25–22.

Minnesota Vikings went 9–8 in 2025 — #18 of 32 by point differential (+0.6/g).

Detroit Lions went 9–8 in 2025 — #10 of 32 by point differential (+4.0/g).

Detroit Lions drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #27).

2025 team profiles

Minnesota Vikings

2025 record9-8Point diff / game+0.6Pythag wins (rank)8.8 (#18)2026 SOS rank#11

Detroit Lions

2025 record9-8Point diff / game+4.0Pythag wins (rank)10.0 (#10)2026 SOS rank#27

Props on the board — MIN @ DET