Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
MIN
Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints
NO

Sunday, October 11 at 1:00 PM EDT

MIN

-1.5

-125

Total

44.5

NO

+1.5

+105

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadMIN -1.5-110
SpreadNO +1.5-110
TotalOver 44.5-110
TotalUnder 44.5-110
MoneylineMIN to win-125
MoneylineNO to win+105

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 1.5 — the 0-3 point band. In 1,473 games since 1999 the favorite covered 49.8% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.3–52.4%) is taken into account.
  • Total 44.5 — spread in the 0-3 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 48.9% of the time across 1,466 of them.

Last three seasons

MIN

21-14-1 ATS · 24-12 SU · 16-20 O/U

13-8-1 ATS as a favorite

NO

17-18 ATS · 11-24 SU · 14-21 O/U

went under in 21 of 35

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

Minnesota Vikings open a 1.5-point favorite over New Orleans Saints — about 56% implied to win outright. The 44.5 total prices it near 23–22.

Minnesota Vikings went 9–8 in 2025 — #18 of 32 by point differential (+0.6/g).

New Orleans Saints went 6–11 in 2025 — #26 of 32 by point differential (-4.5/g).

New Orleans Saints drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #31).

2025 team profiles

Minnesota Vikings

2025 record9-8Point diff / game+0.6Pythag wins (rank)8.8 (#18)2026 SOS rank#11

New Orleans Saints

2025 record6-11Point diff / game-4.5Pythag wins (rank)6.3 (#26)2026 SOS rank#31

Props on the board — MIN @ NO