Sunday, September 27 at 4:05 PM EDT
MIN
+1.5
+105
Total
45.5
TB
-1.5
-125
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 1.5 — the 0-3 point band. In 1,473 games since 1999 the favorite covered 49.8% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.3–52.4%) is taken into account.
- Total 45.5 — spread in the 0-3 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 48.9% of the time across 1,466 of them.
Last three seasons
MIN
21-14-1 ATS · 24-12 SU · 16-20 O/U
13-8-1 ATS as a favorite
TB
15-21 ATS · 18-18 SU · 21-15 O/U
8-13 ATS as a favorite
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Tampa Bay Buccaneers open a 1.5-point favorite over Minnesota Vikings — about 56% implied to win outright. The 45.5 total prices it near 24–22.
Minnesota Vikings went 9–8 in 2025 — #18 of 32 by point differential (+0.6/g).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers went 8–9 in 2025 — #20 of 32 by point differential (-1.8/g).
2025 team profiles
Minnesota Vikings
Tampa Bay Buccaneers