All matchups
New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks
Wednesday, September 9 at 8:15 PM EDT
NE
+3.5
+164
Total
44.5
SEA
-3.5
-198
The Read
Seattle Seahawks open a 3.5-point favorite over New England Patriots — about 66% implied to win outright. The 44.5 total prices it near 24–21.
New England Patriots went 14–3 in 2025 — #2 of 32 by point differential (+10.0/g), but +1.5 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.
Seattle Seahawks went 14–3 in 2025 — #1 of 32 by point differential (+11.2/g).
New England Patriots face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #6).
2025 team profiles
New England Patriots
2025 record14-3Point diff / game+10.0Pythag wins (rank)12.5 (#2)2026 SOS rank#6
Seattle Seahawks
2025 record14-3Point diff / game+11.2Pythag wins (rank)13.0 (#1)2026 SOS rank#14