Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
NO
New Orleans Saints @ Baltimore Ravens
BAL

Sunday, September 20 at 1:00 PM EDT

NO

+7.5

+320

Total

47.5

BAL

-7.5

-410

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadNO +7.5-105
SpreadBAL -7.5-115
TotalOver 47.5-108
TotalUnder 47.5-112
MoneylineNO to win+320
MoneylineBAL to win-410

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 7.5 sits half a point past 7, one of the margins games actually land on. That hook is most of what you are paying for or getting here.
  • Spread 7.5 — the 7-10 point band. In 1,270 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.4% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.6–51.1%) is taken into account.
  • Total 47.5 — spread in the 7-10 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 50.4% of the time across 1,281 of them.

Last three seasons

NO

17-18 ATS · 11-24 SU · 14-21 O/U

went under in 21 of 35

BAL

19-18 ATS · 22-15 SU · 26-11 O/U

went over in 26 of 37

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

Baltimore Ravens open a 7.5-point favorite over New Orleans Saints — about 80% implied to win outright. The 47.5 total prices it near 28–20.

New Orleans Saints went 6–11 in 2025 — #26 of 32 by point differential (-4.5/g).

Baltimore Ravens went 8–9 in 2025 — #15 of 32 by point differential (+1.5/g).

New Orleans Saints drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #31).

2025 team profiles

New Orleans Saints

2025 record6-11Point diff / game-4.5Pythag wins (rank)6.3 (#26)2026 SOS rank#31

Baltimore Ravens

2025 record8-9Point diff / game+1.5Pythag wins (rank)9.1 (#15)2026 SOS rank#24

Props on the board — NO @ BAL