

Sunday, September 20 at 1:00 PM EDT
NO
+7.5
+320
Total
47.5
BAL
-7.5
-410
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 7.5 sits half a point past 7, one of the margins games actually land on. That hook is most of what you are paying for or getting here.
- Spread 7.5 — the 7-10 point band. In 1,270 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.4% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.6–51.1%) is taken into account.
- Total 47.5 — spread in the 7-10 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 50.4% of the time across 1,281 of them.
Last three seasons
NO
17-18 ATS · 11-24 SU · 14-21 O/U
went under in 21 of 35
BAL
19-18 ATS · 22-15 SU · 26-11 O/U
went over in 26 of 37
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Baltimore Ravens open a 7.5-point favorite over New Orleans Saints — about 80% implied to win outright. The 47.5 total prices it near 28–20.
New Orleans Saints went 6–11 in 2025 — #26 of 32 by point differential (-4.5/g).
Baltimore Ravens went 8–9 in 2025 — #15 of 32 by point differential (+1.5/g).
New Orleans Saints drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #31).
2025 team profiles
New Orleans Saints
Baltimore Ravens
