Sunday, October 18 at 1:00 PM EDT
NO
+2.5
+120
Total
44.5
NYG
-2.5
-142
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 2.5 sits half a point short of 3, one of the margins games actually land on. That hook is most of what you are paying for or getting here.
- Spread 2.5 — the 0-3 point band. In 1,473 games since 1999 the favorite covered 49.8% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.3–52.4%) is taken into account.
- Total 44.5 — spread in the 0-3 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 48.9% of the time across 1,466 of them.
Last three seasons
NO
17-18 ATS · 11-24 SU · 14-21 O/U
went under in 21 of 35
NYG
15-20 ATS · 8-27 SU · 18-17 O/U
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
New York Giants open a 2.5-point favorite over New Orleans Saints — about 59% implied to win outright. The 44.5 total prices it near 24–21.
New Orleans Saints went 6–11 in 2025 — #26 of 32 by point differential (-4.5/g).
New York Giants went 4–13 in 2025 — #22 of 32 by point differential (-3.4/g), and were 3.1 wins unlucky versus their margin.
New Orleans Saints drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #31).
2025 team profiles
New Orleans Saints
New York Giants