

Sunday, October 25 at 1:00 PM EDT
NYG
+7
+285
Total
41.5
HOU
-7
-360
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 7 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
- Spread 7 — the 7-10 point band. In 1,279 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.1% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.4–50.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 41.5 — spread in the 7-10 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 50.6% of the time across 1,293 of them.
Last three seasons
NYG
18-21 ATS · 10-29 SU · 20-19 O/U
HOU
20-22-1 ATS · 25-18 SU · 16-26 O/U
went under in 26 of 42
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Houston Texans open a 7-point favorite over New York Giants — about 78% implied to win outright. The 41.5 total prices it near 24–17.
New York Giants went 4–13 in 2025 — #22 of 32 by point differential (-3.4/g), and were 3.1 wins unlucky versus their margin.
Houston Texans went 12–5 in 2025 — #5 of 32 by point differential (+6.4/g).
2025 team profiles
New York Giants
Houston Texans
