

Sunday, September 27 at 1:00 PM EDT
NYJ
+7
+270
Total
48.5
DET
-7
-340
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 7 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
- Spread 7 — the 7-10 point band. In 1,270 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.4% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.6–51.1%) is taken into account.
- Total 48.5 — spread in the 7-10 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 50.4% of the time across 1,281 of them.
Last three seasons
NYJ
14-21 ATS · 9-26 SU · 21-14 O/U
went over in 21 of 35
DET
20-15-1 ATS · 25-11 SU · 21-14 O/U
17-11-1 ATS as a favorite
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Detroit Lions open a 7-point favorite over New York Jets — about 77% implied to win outright. The 48.5 total prices it near 28–21, one of the week's higher totals.
New York Jets went 3–14 in 2025 — #30 of 32 by point differential (-11.9/g).
Detroit Lions went 9–8 in 2025 — #10 of 32 by point differential (+4.0/g).
Detroit Lions drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #27).
2025 team profiles
New York Jets
Detroit Lions
