Monday, September 28 at 8:15 PM EDT
PHI
+1.5
-102
Total
47.5
CHI
-1.5
-118
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 1.5 — the 0-3 point band. In 1,473 games since 1999 the favorite covered 49.8% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.3–52.4%) is taken into account.
- Total 47.5 — spread in the 0-3 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 48.9% of the time across 1,466 of them.
Last three seasons
PHI
24-16 ATS · 30-10 SU · 18-22 O/U
24-16 against the spread
CHI
20-14-3 ATS · 18-19 SU · 17-20 O/U
20-14-3 against the spread
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Chicago Bears open a 1.5-point favorite over Philadelphia Eagles — about 54% implied to win outright. The 47.5 total prices it near 25–23.
Philadelphia Eagles went 11–6 in 2025 — #9 of 32 by point differential (+3.2/g).
Chicago Bears went 11–6 in 2025 — #16 of 32 by point differential (+1.5/g), but +1.9 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.
Chicago Bears face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #1).
2025 team profiles
Philadelphia Eagles
Chicago Bears