All matchups
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots
Sunday, September 20 at 1:00 PM EDT
PIT
+4.5
+185
Total
43.5
NE
-4.5
-225
The Read
New England Patriots open a 4.5-point favorite over Pittsburgh Steelers — about 69% implied to win outright. The 43.5 total prices it near 24–20.
Pittsburgh Steelers went 10–7 in 2025 — #17 of 32 by point differential (+0.6/g).
New England Patriots went 14–3 in 2025 — #2 of 32 by point differential (+10.0/g), but +1.5 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.
New England Patriots face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #6).
2025 team profiles
Pittsburgh Steelers
2025 record10-7Point diff / game+0.6Pythag wins (rank)8.8 (#17)2026 SOS rank#19
New England Patriots
2025 record14-3Point diff / game+10.0Pythag wins (rank)12.5 (#2)2026 SOS rank#6