Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
TB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears
CHI

Sunday, November 8 at 8:20 PM EST

TB

+6

+215

Total

47.5

CHI

-6

-265

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadTB +6.0-110
SpreadCHI -6-110
TotalOver 47.5-110
TotalUnder 47.5-110
MoneylineTB to win+215
MoneylineCHI to win-265

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 6 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
  • Spread 6 — the 6-7 point band. In 689 games since 1999 the favorite covered 47.9% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.2–51.6%) is taken into account.
  • Total 47.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,599 of them.

Last three seasons

TB

17-24-1 ATS · 20-22 SU · 24-18 O/U

6-15-1 ATS home

CHI

24-16-3 ATS · 22-21 SU · 19-24 O/U

15-6-2 ATS home

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

Chicago Bears open a 6-point favorite over Tampa Bay Buccaneers — about 73% implied to win outright. The 47.5 total prices it near 27–21.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers went 8–9 in 2025 — #20 of 32 by point differential (-1.8/g).

Chicago Bears went 11–6 in 2025 — #16 of 32 by point differential (+1.5/g), but +1.9 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.

Chicago Bears face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #1).

2025 team profiles

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2025 record8-9Point diff / game-1.8Pythag wins (rank)7.7 (#20)2026 SOS rank#21

Chicago Bears

2025 record11-6Point diff / game+1.5Pythag wins (rank)9.1 (#16)2026 SOS rank#1

Props on the board — TB @ CHI