

Sunday, November 8 at 8:20 PM EST
TB
+6
+215
Total
47.5
CHI
-6
-265
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 6 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
- Spread 6 — the 6-7 point band. In 689 games since 1999 the favorite covered 47.9% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.2–51.6%) is taken into account.
- Total 47.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,599 of them.
Last three seasons
TB
17-24-1 ATS · 20-22 SU · 24-18 O/U
6-15-1 ATS home
CHI
24-16-3 ATS · 22-21 SU · 19-24 O/U
15-6-2 ATS home
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Chicago Bears open a 6-point favorite over Tampa Bay Buccaneers — about 73% implied to win outright. The 47.5 total prices it near 27–21.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers went 8–9 in 2025 — #20 of 32 by point differential (-1.8/g).
Chicago Bears went 11–6 in 2025 — #16 of 32 by point differential (+1.5/g), but +1.9 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.
Chicago Bears face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #1).
2025 team profiles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Chicago Bears
