Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
โ† Draft Kit

David Montgomery

RB ยท HOU ยท bye 8 ยท new team for 2026

David Montgomery goes at 5.10, roughly 8 spots earlier than 2025 production alone justifies. You're paying for a change of role or a leap.

5.10

2026 ADP

RB32

2025 production rank

9.8

2025 PPR/game

17

2025 games

2026 Outlook

9.3PPR/g2.0โ€“16.5 range

17 games in 2025 at 9.8 PPR/g, regressed 23% toward the RB average of 7.3; changed teams, so the range is widened rather than the estimate moved. This is last season's evidence weighted by sample size โ€” not a forecast.

Usage and schedule

  • 1.7 targets per game in 2025
  • 9.3 carries per game in 2025
  • 6% of his games cleared 20+ PPR; 41% landed under 8
  • Fantasy playoff matchups (weeks 15โ€“17): vs JAX, @PHI, @GB โ€” softness 55/100

ADP from real 12-team drafts (3,899 tracked), refreshed daily. Production from 2025 regular-season game logs.

Runs on the same data