Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics

Justin Jefferson

WR · MIN · bye 6

Justin Jefferson goes at 2.01, roughly 15 spots earlier than 2025 production alone justifies. You're paying for a change of role or a leap.

2.01

2026 ADP

WR22

2025 production rank

11.9

2025 PPR/game

17

2025 games

2026 Outlook

10.6PPR/g5.6–15.6 range

17 games in 2025 at 11.9 PPR/g, regressed 23% toward the WR average of 6.3. This is last season's evidence weighted by sample size — not a forecast.

Usage and schedule

8.3 targets per game in 2025
6% of his games cleared 20+ PPR; 29% landed under 8
Fantasy playoff matchups (weeks 15–17): vs DET, vs WAS, @NYJ — softness 72/100

Latest on Justin Jefferson

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See him on the full board How these numbers are built

ADP from real 12-team drafts (3,899 tracked), refreshed daily. Production from 2025 regular-season game logs.

Runs on the same data

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