Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
โ† Draft Kit

Patrick Mahomes

QB ยท KC ยท bye 5

The market drafts Patrick Mahomes at 9.08, but 2025 production ranks him QB5 โ€” about 9 spots of value.

9.08

2026 ADP

QB5

2025 production rank

20.4

2025 PPR/game

14

2025 games

2026 Outlook

18.8PPR/g12.1โ€“25.5 range

14 games in 2025 at 20.4 PPR/g, regressed 26% toward the QB average of 14.4. This is last season's evidence weighted by sample size โ€” not a forecast.

Usage and schedule

  • 0.1 targets per game in 2025
  • 4.6 carries per game in 2025
  • 57% of his games cleared 20+ PPR; 7% landed under 8
  • Fantasy playoff matchups (weeks 15โ€“17): vs NE, vs SF, @LAC โ€” softness 36/100

Latest on Patrick Mahomes

ADP from real 12-team drafts (3,899 tracked), refreshed daily. Production from 2025 regular-season game logs.

Runs on the same data