Late-Round WRs Delivering Big Value in 2025 Fantasy Scoring

Fantasy drafters often rely on Average Draft Position (ADP) as a shorthand for player cost, but comparing ADP to actual production reveals opportunities to find value — players who outscored where they were typically taken. Using 2025 PPR points per game as our production baseline, this report highlights several wide receivers who delivered more fantasy points per game than their ADP suggested, plus some intriguing rookies and boom/bust players to consider.

Late-Round WR Value: Production Outpaces ADP

Troy Franklin (ADP 15.02) averaged 10.4 PPR points per game over 17 games in 2025, outperforming his draft cost by 44 spots. That means you could have drafted him 44 picks later than where he was typically taken and still matched his production. Similarly, Kayshon Boutte (15.04 ADP) posted 8.9 PPR points per game, 32 spots later than his ADP.

Other WRs with strong late-round value include Jauan Jennings (12.05 ADP, 11.6 PPR, +28 spots), Wan'Dale Robinson (8.04 ADP, 13.6 PPR, +28 spots), and Quentin Johnston (9.05 ADP, 13.2 PPR, +26 spots). Even Michael Wilson (8.02 ADP, 13.0 PPR, +24 spots) fits this pattern. The takeaway: these receivers were generally undervalued relative to their weekly scoring, making them potential targets in middle-to-late rounds if your league’s ADP trends hold.

Dark Horses Gaining Attention

Dark horses are players who show potential value beyond their draft cost, often indicated by "value_vs_adp" metrics and recent increases in fantasy roster adds. Justice Hill (RB, 14.04 ADP) leads this group with a positive value of +9 spots and 5,994 adds in the last 24 hours, signaling growing interest. Among WRs, Jalen Nailor (13.08 ADP, +10 value) and Ryan Flournoy (14.09 ADP, +22 value) stand out. Flournoy also appears in the value section with a 7.6 PPR average, showing that some late-round WRs can be sleepers.

Other notable dark horses include MarShawn Lloyd (RB, 10.04 ADP), Tank Dell (WR, 14.06 ADP), and Jaydon Blue (RB, 12.04 ADP), all seeing increased attention based on recent adds but with less clear value metrics. Keep an eye on these players as potential late-round or waiver targets.

Rookie WRs and RBs: Projection vs. Sample

Rookies come without NFL production data, so their ADP reflects projections based on college performance and scouting reports. Early rookie RBs like Jeremiyah Love (ARI, 2.11 ADP) and Jadarian Price (SEA, 6.08 ADP) are being taken relatively early, suggesting expectations for immediate impact. Among WR rookies, Carnell Tate (TEN, 6.09 ADP) and Jordyn Tyson (NO, 7.08 ADP) stand out as mid-round rookie options.

Rookies generally carry more risk because they lack NFL sample size, so weigh their draft cost against your roster needs and league scoring format. Consider pairing rookies with proven veterans to balance upside and floor.

Boom/Bust QBs and WRs to Consider

Boom/bust players have wide weekly scoring swings, measured here by the percentage of games with 20+ fantasy points (boom) and under 8 points (bust). Joe Burrow (QB, 5.04 ADP) had 50% of his games with 20+ points but 25% under 8. Similarly, Lamar Jackson (5.06 ADP) showed a 46% boom rate and 31% bust rate.

At WR, Garrett Wilson (3.03 ADP) had 43% boom and 29% bust games, while Drake London (1.11 ADP) saw 33% boom and 25% bust. These players can win weeks but carry volatility, important to factor when building your lineup and weekly start decisions.

How to Use This

Check your league’s ADP trends against these production and value insights to identify potential steals, especially among wide receivers taken after round 8. Use our Draft Kit to compare ADP with projected value, and track usage with the Usage Report. For players with boom/bust profiles, consult the Anytime TD Board to weigh upside against risk. Incorporate rookies carefully, balancing upside with their lack of NFL production.

Draft smart by targeting players who outperform their ADP, and don’t shy away from some volatility if it fits your team’s strategy.