Late-Round Adds With Production Support Before ADP Reacts

In this piece

Jauan JenningsWR · MINADP 13.02Malik WashingtonWR · MIAADP 13.11Jalen NailorWR · LVADP 13.12Keaton MitchellRB · LACADP 14.02Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAXADP 14.06Justice HillRB · BALADP 14.09Ryan FlournoyWR · DALADP 15.02Kayshon BoutteWR · NEADP 15.05

Draft markets often move on attention before prices fully react. The last day’s adds identify whom managers are buying, but 2025 production helps separate a useful signal from a name simply entering the conversation.

The crowd’s biggest purchases

Barion Brown leads the market with 47,187 adds in the last day, followed by Seth McGowan at 26,432, Caleb Douglas at 19,592, and Darius Cooper at 12,880. Those totals establish interest, not fantasy value.

That distinction matters because ADP, the average pick where a player is drafted, is not supplied here for those four players. Nor do these numbers include their 2025 fantasy production. Put them on a watchlist, but do not turn an add spike into a draft-round recommendation without a price and production baseline.

The next group gives us more to work with. Justice Hill drew 12,159 adds, while Jalen Nailor drew 10,998. Both also appear among the late-round dark horses, giving us an ADP and a direct comparison with last season.

Hill and Nailor have price support

Hill is being drafted at 14.09, which is 14 picks later than his 2025 production justifies. Nailor is going at 14.05, 12 picks later than last season’s production justifies. That is the correct value comparison: their 2026 draft prices are being measured against what they produced in 2025, not against where anyone drafted them last year.

Neither gap guarantees that the current price will hold. It does show that managers adding them are not paying above the supplied production baseline yet. Queue both before Round 14 and use the Draft Kit to monitor whether their ADPs begin moving earlier.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. offers a quieter version of the same setup: 3,393 adds, an ADP of 14.08, and a 2026 price 17 picks later than his 2025 production justifies. Malik Washington has 5,800 adds, costs 13.12, and is being selected 10 picks later than last season’s production justifies.

Flournoy has the strongest late value gap

Ryan Flournoy has accumulated 6,824 adds, but his production-price gap is larger than Hill’s or Nailor’s. He is drafted at 15.09, which is 28 picks later than his 2025 production justifies. Last season, he scored 7.6 PPR points per game across 15 games.

That combination makes him the cleanest player here to consider before attention affects price: late cost, meaningful add activity, and a supplied 2025 sample. Check the Usage Report when comparing him with other final-round receivers, rather than treating add volume as evidence of opportunity by itself.

The contrast is Keaton Mitchell. His 6,777 adds show similar attention, but his 14.03 price is exactly aligned with 2025 production, a gap of 0 picks. He may still fit a roster, but this specific price-versus-production test does not identify a discount.

Have fallback values ready

If the popular names climb, do not chase automatically. Jauan Jennings remains available at 13.03, a price 29 picks later than his 2025 production justifies, after averaging 11.6 PPR points across 15 games last season. Kayshon Boutte costs 15.07, sits 33 picks later than 2025 production justifies, and averaged 8.9 over 14 games.

Use the Anytime TD Board as another price check when choosing among late running backs and receivers, not as a substitute for draft cost and prior production.

How to use this: Queue Hill, Nailor, and Flournoy near their current rounds, then pivot to Jennings or Boutte if rising attention makes the original prices disappear.