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The Fantasy Desk

Sunday, August 16, 2026

A Two-Round PPR Mock Built From Current ADP

This 12-team mock follows current prices while using last season’s production to settle close calls.

Bobby's AI Desk·written from our own draft-market and 2025 production data·how this works

Takeaways

  • Use ADP to anticipate availability, then let 2025 production settle close choices.
  • Discount small samples rather than treating strong per-game scoring as certainty.
  • At the second-round turn, take the stronger production profile instead of forcing a position.

This is one plausible board for a 12-team PPR draft, not a prediction of how every room will behave. ADP, the average pick across drafts, anchors each selection; 2025 scoring breaks the ties.

1.01-1.06: The top ADP cluster

1. 1.01 Bijan Robinson — ADP 1.02. His 21.8 PPR points per game ranked second among running backs. Alternative: Jahmyr Gibbs.

2. 1.02 Jahmyr Gibbs — ADP 1.02. He delivered 21.6 per game across 17 games. Alternative: Puka Nacua.

3. 1.03 Puka Nacua — ADP 1.03. His position-leading 23.4 per game provides the cleanest receiver case. Alternative: Ja’Marr Chase.

4. 1.04 Ja’Marr Chase — ADP 1.04. He ranked third at wide receiver with 19.6 per game. Alternative: Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

5. 1.05 Jaxon Smith-Njigba — ADP 1.05. His 21.2 per game ranked second among receivers. Alternative: Christian McCaffrey.

6. 1.06 Christian McCaffrey — ADP 1.06. He led running backs with 24.5 per game over 17 games. Alternative: Amon-Ra St. Brown.

1.07-1.12: Checking scoring ranges

These ranges take 2025 per-game scoring, regress it toward the positional average based on games played, and are not 2026 forecasts.

7. 1.07 Jonathan Taylor — ADP 1.07. His 21.3 last season becomes a 7.44-28.83 range after regression for 17 games. Alternative: Amon-Ra St. Brown.

8. 1.08 Amon-Ra St. Brown — ADP 1.07. He ranked fourth among receivers at 19.1 per game. Alternative: De’Von Achane.

9. 1.09 De’Von Achane — ADP 1.10. His 20.2 becomes an 11.14-23.10 range after regression for 16 games. Alternative: Drake London.

10. 1.10 Drake London — ADP 1.10. He averaged 16.8, with 33% of games above 20 points. Alternative: CeeDee Lamb.

11. 1.11 CeeDee Lamb — ADP 1.11. His 15.5 per game ranked 10th among receivers. Alternative: James Cook III.

12. 1.12 James Cook III — ADP 2.01. He ranked sixth among backs at 17.8 per game. Alternative: Chase Brown.

2.01-2.06: Price against production

Value means comparing a player’s 2026 draft price with his 2025 production, not claiming last year’s price was cheaper.

13. 2.01 Chase Brown — ADP 2.01. His 16.6 per game ranked seventh among backs. Alternative: Justin Jefferson.

14. 2.02 Rashee Rice — ADP 2.02. He averaged 18.8, though that sample covered 8 games. Alternative: Justin Jefferson.

15. 2.03 Justin Jefferson — ADP 2.01. His 11.9 per game explains the slide; his 2026 price is 15 picks earlier than 2025 production supports. Alternative: Ashton Jeanty.

16. 2.04 Ashton Jeanty — ADP 2.03. He averaged 14.4 across 17 games last season. Alternative: Derrick Henry.

17. 2.05 Derrick Henry — ADP 2.05. His 16.4 per game ranked eighth among backs. Alternative: A.J. Brown.

18. 2.06 A.J. Brown — ADP 2.05. He averaged 14.7 across 15 games. Alternative: George Pickens.

2.07-2.12: Production wins the turn

19. 2.07 George Pickens — ADP 2.08. His 17.2 per game ranked sixth among receivers. Alternative: Saquon Barkley.

20. 2.08 Saquon Barkley — ADP 2.08. He averaged 14.5 across 16 games. Alternative: Omarion Hampton.

21. 2.09 Omarion Hampton — ADP 2.08. He produced 15.1 per game in a 9-game sample. Alternative: Chris Olave.

22. 2.10 Chris Olave — ADP 2.10. His 16.7 ranked seventh among receivers; his playoff ease score is 82. Alternative: Nico Collins.

23. 2.11 Nico Collins — ADP 2.11. He averaged 15.1 across 15 games. Alternative: Zay Flowers.

24. 2.12 Zay Flowers — ADP 3.01. His 14.3 and receiver rank of 13 beat Kenneth Walker’s 11.3 and running back rank of 26. Alternative: Kenneth Walker.

How to use this: Treat the board as a price map, not a rigid ranking. Track movement in the Draft Kit, then cross-check player context with the Usage Report and Anytime TD Board.

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Written by Bobby's AI desk from live draft-market and 2025 production data — every number traces to a stored fact sheet. Data sources: market ADP via FantasyFootballCalculator public drafts; community add/drop trends via Sleeper; player production via nflverse; odds via DraftKings; headlines via ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo Sports, and ProFootballTalk. Tools referenced: Draft Kit, Usage Report, Anytime TD Board.Full methodology. Not betting or financial advice — play smart.