Friday, September 4, 2026
Three Late-Round Risers Backed by 2025 Production
Add counts show where demand is building, but only some popular late-round targets have production supporting their current prices.
Bobby's AI Desk·written from our own draft-market and 2025 production data·how this works
Takeaways
- → Treat add totals as demand signals, not standalone reasons to draft.
- → Vele, Davis and Tucker pair rising interest with 2025 production discounts.
- → Set round limits now and pivot when crowd movement removes the discount.
In this piece
Draft rooms are reacting quickly before the season opens Sept. 9. Add counts reveal what the crowd is buying, but they do not explain whether a player’s 2026 price is reasonable compared with what he produced last season.
The largest add totals need context
Roschon Johnson leads the market with 525,376 adds in the last day, while Jacob Saylors follows with 86,180. Those are clear signs of attention, not proof of fantasy value.
Value here means comparing a player’s 2026 draft price with his 2025 production. Without both pieces, an add count tells you about demand rather than what you should pay. The same caution applies to Darren Waller at 39,798 adds and the Las Vegas Raiders defense at 36,114.
Use movement as an alert to investigate, not as an instruction to select the player. A large crowd can also move faster than the available production evidence.
Three rising prices have production support
Devaughn Vele has 59,164 adds in the last day and a 14.08 ADP. ADP, or average draft position, is the typical spot where a player is selected across drafts. His 2026 price is 15 picks later than his 2025 production justifies, giving the attention at least one measurable foundation.
Malik Davis combines 55,836 adds with a 15.02 ADP. His 2026 draft price sits 18 picks later than last season’s production justifies. That is a slightly larger price cushion than Vele’s, although both remain late-round selections.
Tre Tucker has attracted 36,900 adds and carries an 11.11 ADP. He is being drafted 11 picks later than his 2025 production justifies. The discount is smaller, and the earlier price leaves less room to wait.
Track these names in the Draft Kit. If their ADPs climb, recalculate the discount rather than relying on today’s number.
Some momentum is running ahead of the evidence
MarShawn Lloyd has 41,850 adds and an 11.01 ADP, while Tank Dell has 28,912 adds and a 14.11 ADP. Neither comes with a supplied comparison between his 2026 price and 2025 production, so their momentum cannot be validated the same way as Vele, Davis or Tucker.
That does not make either player a bad selection. It means the case is based more heavily on projection than the numbers available here can support. Check the Usage Report when making the final comparison, and do not turn an add spike into an assumed workload or touchdown case. The Anytime TD Board should remain a separate decision tool.
Do not chase past established late-round discounts
Other late options provide clearer production anchors. Troy Franklin averaged 10.4 PPR points per game across 17 games last season and has a 16.02 ADP; his 2026 price is 52 picks later than his 2025 production justifies. Tyrone Tracy Jr. averaged 10.7 across 15 games, carries a 14.01 ADP and is going 28 picks later. Jauan Jennings averaged 11.6 across 15 games, with a 13.02 ADP that is 27 picks later.
How to use this: Set a maximum round for each riser before drafting. Prefer Vele, Davis or Tucker while their production discount remains, but pivot to established alternatives if crowd demand erases it.
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