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Cameron Ward

Passing TDs Over 1.5

+208 → +270+14%DK

Sunday · 12 gamesfirst kick 9:30 AM ETAll 12 →

Our best plays on the slate

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Pick of the dayA+Sun 1:00 PM ET

60%hit rate L10 · 55g

+7.2%price edge vs Pinnacle

+156DK

Parlay of the day3 legs · 3 different games+1521

+156
+173
+132

$10 wins $152.14

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Model picks

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Today's facts

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59-37a final score never seen before since 2015

The Bears 59, the Panthers 37 — a final score that hadn't happened once in 704 different NFL scores since 2015. Scorigami.

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0 of 150-5 teams since 2015 made the playoffs

3 teams are 0-5. Since 2015, 0 of 15 0-5 teams made the playoffs (0%).

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96rushing TDs by a quarterback, the most since 1999

Josh Allen has 96 rushing touchdowns since 1999, playoffs included, the most by any quarterback. Next: Cam Newton (77). The Bills visit the Raiders on Sunday.

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441-yard touchdown runs since 1999, 2nd-most

Jalen Hurts has 44 one-yard touchdown runs since 1999, playoffs included. Only LaDainian Tomlinson has more (45). No other QB is in the top 5. The Eagles host the Panthers on Sunday.

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26.2points the week after a 45-point game, since 2015

Teams that score 45+ average 26.2 the next week — no real hangover. Only 11 of 108 crashed to 10 or fewer. The Bears went 59 → 3.

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0 of 11seasons with a playoff game

The Jets have not played a single postseason game in the 11 seasons since 2015. The only NFL team with zero.

Verified fact →

Bobby's AI DeskFriday, October 16Useful?

Sunday’s board takes shape on an NFL off day

No games are scheduled today, but injuries and early prices are already defining Sunday’s watch list.

Read the full briefing →

There are no NFL games on today’s schedule. Sunday opens with HOU Texans @ JAX Jaguars at Sun Oct 18, 9:30 AM ET, where JAX Jaguars -2.5 is posted with a 42.5 total. The later board includes DAL Cowboys @ GB Packers at Sun Oct 18, 8:20 PM ET, with GB Packers -1.5 and a 53.5 total.

Injury reporting matters before those numbers settle. Houston’s Jalen Pitre is ruled out for Sunday against Jacksonville. Dallas linebacker DeMarvion Overshown was limited Thursday with a hamstring issue, while Green Bay’s Keisean Nixon was limited with a groin issue.

On our model board, Kyren Williams Receptions Over 3.5 is priced at 170, a 6.0% edge versus Pinnacle’s no-vig fair price. Cade Otton Receptions Over 3.5 at 125 carries a 5.5% price edge by the same measure.

Pitre ruled outHouston’s Jalen Pitre is out with a shoulder injury for Sunday’s game against Jacksonville.

Kyren price edgeOur model board flags Kyren Williams Receptions Over 3.5 at 170, with a 6.0% edge versus Pinnacle’s no-vig fair price.

Dallas-Green Bay injuriesDeMarvion Overshown and Keisean Nixon were both limited participants in Thursday practice.

Number of the day6.0% — Kyren Williams’ DraftKings price edge versus Pinnacle’s no-vig fair price.

Sources: ESPN (scoreboard, injuries, news), DraftKings (posted lines), nflverse (production), our model picks. Written only from these facts — nothing free-recalled.

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Written by AI from our data. Analysis, not a guarantee · 21+ · Problem gambling? 1-800-GAMBLER