College Player Props

Books post college props game by game in the days before kickoff, so this fills in as the week goes. Right now: 836 players across 35 games.

No hit rates here, on purpose

We hold no college player game logs, so any “hits 7 of his last 10” we put here would be invented. What we can show is real: what the ladder implies, the points the game line hands that offence, what the opposing defence did last season, and how much of that production actually returns.

These are milestone ladders, not over/unders.

TCU vs Baylor

Sat 7:00 PM ETtotal 48.531 props

DJ LagwayBAYPassing yards
market midpoint ≈ 266 ydsBAY implied 27.3 pts · favouredTCU D was middling — 62th pct78% of passing production back price steady
150+-174094.6%160+-128092.8%170+-95090.5%180+-72087.8%190+-55284.7%200+-43481.3%210+-34577.5%220+-26872.8%230+-21468.2%240+-17463.5%250+-14058.3%257+-12054.5%258+-11653.7%260+-11252.8%261+-11653.7%270++11147.4%280++13642.4%290++17136.9%300++21531.7%310++27027%320++33922.8%330++43018.9%340++53415.8%350++67013%360++84010.6%370++10608.6%
Jaden CraigTCUPassing yards
market midpoint ≈ 221 ydsTCU implied 21.3 pts · underdogBaylor D was soft — 24th pct11% of passing production back price steady
150+-51683.8%160+-40680.2%170+-31676%180+-25171.5%190+-19966.6%200+-16161.7%210+-12956.3%214+-11854.1%220+-10250.5%230++12045.5%240++14940.2%250++18734.8%260++23030.3%270++28526%280++35921.8%290++44718.3%300++56315.1%310++69012.7%320++85010.5%330++10808.5%
Gavin FreemanBAYReceiving yards
market midpoint ≈ 79 ydsBAY implied 27.3 pts · favouredTCU D was middling — 62th pct47% of receiving production back price steady
25+-310096.9%40+-78088.6%50+-38779.5%60+-22969.6%70+-14659.3%74+-10751.7%75+-11854.1%76+-11152.6%80++10349.3%90++14740.5%100++20133.2%110++27826.5%120++38420.7%130++51616.2%140++69012.7%150++9109.9%160++12007.7%
Jeremy PayneTCURushing yards
market midpoint ≈ 81 ydsTCU implied 21.3 pts · underdogBaylor D was soft — 24th pct31% of rushing production back price steady
30+-192095%40+-77088.5%50+-40180%60+-23670.2%70+-15460.6%75+-11954.3%76+-12154.8%80+-10350.7%90++13842%100++19034.5%110++25827.9%120++35222.1%130++46217.8%140++61014.1%150++80011.1%160++10408.8%
Dawson PendergrassBAYRushing yards
market midpoint ≈ 55 ydsBAY implied 27.3 pts · favouredTCU D was middling — 62th pct68% of rushing production back price steady
15+-280096.6%20+-124092.5%25+-68087.2%30+-43281.2%40+-20867.5%50+-12154.8%51+-11553.5%52+-11553.5%60++13342.9%70++20532.8%80++30624.6%90++44618.3%100++64013.5%110++90010%120++12607.4%
Kari AshleyTCUReceiving yards
market midpoint ≈ 51 ydsTCU implied 21.3 pts · underdogBaylor D was soft — 24th pct29% of receiving production backdrifted -117 → -105
15+-168094.4%25+-52083.9%40+-17964.2%49+-11252.8%50+-10551.2%60++15040%70++22430.9%80++33123.2%90++48117.2%100++68012.8%110++9509.5%120++11807.8%
Ed SmallTCUReceiving yards
market midpoint ≈ 43 ydsTCU implied 21.3 pts · underdogBaylor D was soft — 24th pct29% of receiving production back price steady
15+-84089.4%25+-30475.2%40+-11453.3%50++14540.8%60++23230.1%70++35821.8%80++52715.9%90++77011.5%100++11008.3%
Baylor D/STAnytime TD
20% to score price steady
Over+40020%
Caden KnightenBAYAnytime TD
51.2% to scoreBAY implied 27.3 pts · favouredTCU D was middling — 62th pct60% of overall production backdrifted -115 → -105
Over-10551.2%
Dawson PendergrassBAYAnytime TD
59.2% to scoreBAY implied 27.3 pts · favouredTCU D was middling — 62th pct60% of overall production backdrifted -160 → -145
Over-14559.2%
DJ LagwayBAYAnytime TD
14.3% to scoreBAY implied 27.3 pts · favouredTCU D was middling — 62th pct60% of overall production back price steady
Over+60014.3%
Dre'lon MillerBAYAnytime TD
16.7% to scoreBAY implied 27.3 pts · favouredTCU D was middling — 62th pct60% of overall production back price steady
Over+50016.7%
Ed SmallTCUAnytime TD
29% to scoreTCU implied 21.3 pts · underdogBaylor D was soft — 24th pct22% of overall production backdrifted +225 → +245
Over+24529%
Gavin FreemanBAYAnytime TD
50% to scoreBAY implied 27.3 pts · favouredTCU D was middling — 62th pct60% of overall production back price steady
Over+10050%
Hawkins PolleyBAYAnytime TD
15.4% to scoreBAY implied 27.3 pts · favouredTCU D was middling — 62th pct60% of overall production back price steady
Over+55015.4%
Jacobe HayesTCUAnytime TD
16.7% to scoreTCU implied 21.3 pts · underdogBaylor D was soft — 24th pct22% of overall production backdrifted +450 → +500
Over+50016.7%
Jaden CraigTCUAnytime TD
25% to scoreTCU implied 21.3 pts · underdogBaylor D was soft — 24th pct22% of overall production back price steady
Over+30025%
Jadon PorterBAYAnytime TD
22.2% to scoreBAY implied 27.3 pts · favouredTCU D was middling — 62th pct60% of overall production back price steady
Over+35022.2%
Jayden McGowanBAYAnytime TD
25.3% to scoreBAY implied 27.3 pts · favouredTCU D was middling — 62th pct60% of overall production back price steady
Over+29525.3%
Jeremy PayneTCUAnytime TD
68.8% to scoreTCU implied 21.3 pts · underdogBaylor D was soft — 24th pct22% of overall production backbet up -205 → -220
Over-22068.8%
Jeremy ScottTCUAnytime TD
17.4% to scoreTCU implied 21.3 pts · underdogBaylor D was soft — 24th pct22% of overall production back price steady
Over+47517.4%
Jon DenmanTCUAnytime TD
33.3% to scoreTCU implied 21.3 pts · underdogBaylor D was soft — 24th pct22% of overall production backbet up +215 → +200
Over+20033.3%
Jordan DwyerTCUAnytime TD
26.3% to scoreTCU implied 21.3 pts · underdogBaylor D was soft — 24th pct22% of overall production back price steady
Over+28026.3%
Ka'Morreun PimptonTCUAnytime TD
16.7% to scoreTCU implied 21.3 pts · underdogBaylor D was soft — 24th pct22% of overall production backdrifted +450 → +500
Over+50016.7%
Kari AshleyTCUAnytime TD
35.7% to scoreTCU implied 21.3 pts · underdogBaylor D was soft — 24th pct22% of overall production back price steady
Over+18035.7%
Louis BrownBAYAnytime TD
37.7% to scoreBAY implied 27.3 pts · favouredTCU D was middling — 62th pct60% of overall production back price steady
Over+16537.7%
Major EverhartTCUAnytime TD
10% to scoreTCU implied 21.3 pts · underdogBaylor D was soft — 24th pct22% of overall production back price steady
Over+90010%
Matthew KlopfensteinBAYAnytime TD
11.8% to scoreBAY implied 27.3 pts · favouredTCU D was middling — 62th pct60% of overall production back price steady
Over+75011.8%
Michael TurnerBAYAnytime TD
35.1% to scoreBAY implied 27.3 pts · favouredTCU D was middling — 62th pct60% of overall production back price steady
Over+18535.1%
TCU D/STAnytime TD
19% to score price steady
Over+42519%
Tony LivingstonBAYAnytime TD
13.3% to scoreBAY implied 27.3 pts · favouredTCU D was middling — 62th pct60% of overall production back price steady
Over+65013.3%

Prices are DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; tap any rung to send it to your betslip. We publish no model or pick on college player props — our own measurement says this sport is efficiently priced, and every spread band we tested lands at a coin flip. This board is here so you can read the market, not so we can beat it.